River water temperature demonstrates resistance to long?term air temperature change

نویسندگان

چکیده

Ecosystem health and water quality of rivers are dependent on their temperature. With ongoing human-induced climate change causing increases in air temperature across the globe, it is anticipated stream temperatures will rise too—in turn increasing rates biogeochemical processes potentially threatening viability aquatic organisms. To understand relationship between response, longer records that can be analysed, more robust analysis for detecting change. In this study, we analyse from 263 catchments United Kingdom 45 years 1974 to 2019 assess link give most precise these long records, Bayesian hierarchical modelling was used showed that: (i) The approach 59% precise, is, reduced uncertainty long-term trends, than using simple linear regression. (ii) increase annual average over no significant differences 22 weather stations gave a 45-year 1.35 ± 0.9°C. (iii) Trends mean varied ?2.3 °C 2.0 years, with sites being 0.5 years. (iv) 1% trend significantly greater but 3% lower zero. (v) 74% all river monotonic trend, either positive or negative, even after observed declines could ascribed closures thermoelectric power unclear why at some has risen faster study shows well buffered against changes temperature—a 1°C giving 0.37°C

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Hydrological Processes

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1099-1085', '0885-6087']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.14732